Oil prices slide on demand uncertainty

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Melbourne — Oil prices slipped on Friday, adding to losses in the previous session, on worries that fuel demand growth will drop amid a resurgence of coronavirus cases and as talks have stalled in the US on a new stimulus deal.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slipped 2c to $41.93 a barrel at 2.46am GMT, while Brent crude fell 6c, or 0.1%, to $45.03, after both contracts had earlier traded higher.

However, WTI and Brent are both set for weekly gains of at least 4%, the most for the two benchmark contracts since the week ending July 3.

The resurgence of coronavirus infections remains the main uncertainty in the oil market, as that will determine how fast fuel demand rebounds. Tallies show infections in the US are rising in a number of states, including Colorado, Ohio and Virginia.

Rising cases remain the key uncertainty for fuel demand growth and in turn oil prices, analysts said.

“It really comes down to the demand situation,” said AxiCorp market strategist Stephen Innes.

“We’re caught in limbo trying to collect our thoughts on how the [coronavirus] curve is going to work. Is the flattening in the US going to outweigh flare-ups globally?” he said.

Analysts were also watching the lack of progress in the talks between the White House and Democrats over the next coronavirus stimulus package, with Democrats saying President Donald Trump may have to issue executive orders if he does not want to negotiate further.

“The virus relief package remains the last hope to boost [fuel] demand, with the US driving season coming to an end soon,” ANZ Research said in a note.

Over the week, a weaker US dollar has helped support higher oil prices, as oil is priced in dollars, making it more attractive to crude buyers in other currencies.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, dropped to its lowest since May 2018 on Thursday.

While the index is up slightly on Friday, the dollar is expected to weaken ahead of US non-farm payrolls data that are widely expected to show jobs creation slowed in July from the previous month amid a surge in Covid-19 infections.

Reuters
7 Aug 2020 1AM English South Africa Business News · News

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