US labour market data shows softening, while SA’s electricity generation stabilises

Loading player...
A consistent message is coming through latest US labour market data releases: labour market conditions are softening as high interest rates are having an impact. Although the US added 206,000 jobs in June, more than expected, many are being generated in non-cyclical sectors like government, education and health care. The unemployment rate is now 4.1% and seems to be edging higher. We believe the US Federal Reserve may be able to consider cutting interest rates by 25 bps at its September FOMC meeting.
It has been more than 100 days since SA experienced load shedding. The Electricity Availability Factor (EAF) has held above 60% for over two months and although unplanned maintenance is still significant, it appears to be holding at a relatively low level. However, to grow the economy faster than 1-1.5% a year, SA needs more electricity capacity. Lack of sufficient power generation remains a key hindrance to the country’s growth ambitions. Click here to listen to the podcast.
8 Jul 2024 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

SA is not yet seeing second-round inflation effects: Kevin Lings

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, analyses the details behind SA’s below-expectation increase in inflation in September, to an annual rate of 4.5% from 4.4%. While fuel inflation is 27.9% y/y, it has not yet fed into other categories – e.g. food inflation is only 1% y/y, though…
26 Oct 10 min

MTBPS 2026 shows evidence of positive fiscal progress

In this podcast, Kevin Lings, Chief Economist at STANLIB Asset Management, highlights what was positive and what was disappointing in today’s Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement. He discusses how achievable the revenue and expenditure targets are, and stresses the need for stronger policy measures to push SA’s growth rate up to…
21 Oct 16 min

Minister delivers positive surprises for bond investors in the MTBPS

In this podcast, Sylvester Kobo, Deputy Head of Fixed Income at STANLIB Asset Management, summarises the main points of interest in the MTBPS for bond market investors. He explains how the bond market reacted in the short term and is likely to respond in the longer term. He also analyses…
21 Oct 3 min

Active vs passive investing: Choosing the right approach

When should you choose active investing over passive investing, and how do you identify a good active investment manager? In Episode 16 of The More You Know, Brendan Howie, Head of Product at STANLIB Asset Management, joins Jeremy Maggs to explore the role of active and passive investing in achieving…
19 Oct 16 min

Concerns growing about US inflation; SA’s mining production contracts again

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, analyses the latest US CPI inflation (an increase to 3.7% y/y) data, which reflects pressure not only from fuel but also shelter prices. This could prompt two or more interest rate hikes by the US Fed, which would have global implications. In…
19 Oct 13 min